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Regional Climate Dynamics publications The goal of our work in this area is to understand the forces shaping climate variability and change on spatial scales most relevant to humans and ecosystems. These scales are much smaller than those that have been the historical focus of climate research. The need for a fine-scale approach is particularly acute in regions characterized by complex coastlines and intense topography, where profound climate variations may occur on scales of just few kilometers. Examples include the California region, and the coastal region of South America encompassing Peru and northern Chile. Both regions are our laboratories for understanding the intricacies of coastal climate. We are also active in characterizing and projecting climate change at the regional scale. Underpinning all of this work is an active program of regional earth system model development and validation. Further information about research activities in coastal climate, regional climate change, and earth system model development is provided below. Coastal Climate We view the study of coastal
climate as a critical focus area for our regional climate
dynamics research for two reasons. First, nearly half the
world's population lives within 100km of the coast, so that
coastal climate processes have a disproportionate impact on
humans. Second, with complex coastlines and topography, the
coastal zone is often characterized by sharp climate
gradients unresolved in conventional global climate models.
Thus understanding climate in these areas practically
requires a regional, high-resolution approach. One of our
laboratories for studying coastal climate has
been Southern California. We examined the region's
modes
of atmospheric variability in a high-resolution
(6-km) regional simulation, finding that the region has its
own unique modes of variability whose timing and structure
cannot be related in any simple way to larger-scale
atmospheric patterns. In a follow-on study,
we investigated the dynamics of one of these modes, the
region's famous Santa Ana winds. We have also examined how
coastal topography shapes the
region's hydrologic cycle and diurnal
cycles of temperature and circulation. Finally,
analyzing simulations with our newly-developed regional
coupled ocean-atmosphere model, we've demonstrated
that mesoscale
processes govern air-sea interaction in the
region, shaping upwelling and and regional ocean
circulation. Another of our laboratories for studying
coastal climate is the region encompassing Peru, northern
Chile region, and the adjacent southeast Pacific, and
studies of this region are forthcoming. This is part of our
participation in the VOCALS
project. Regional
Climate Change Building on our work
examining the dynamics of Southern California's Santa Ana
winds in the current climate, we undertook a regional
climate
change modeling study of the changes in these
wind patterns resulting from increasing greenhouse gases. It
turns out these winds decrease in intensity in the future
simulation, largely due to a weakening wintertime
temperature difference between the Mojave Desert and the
coast. Changes in the hydrologic cycle at the regional scale
are a potentially critical dimension of climate change, but
are poorly understood. We have begun to improve
understanding in this area by examining simulated changes in
precipitation, evaporation and snowpack in California. We
are also examining this issue from an observational
perspective. For example, we developed a comprehensive data
set of monthly snow measurements in California's Sierra
Nevada, and used
the data to demonstrate that there have been
advances in the timing of snow melt, even in areas where
snowpack has been increasing. Earth
System Model Development Go
to the Climate Feedbacks or
Interdisciplinary
research pages. |
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