Climate Sensitivity Research Lounge

OUR PUBLICATIONS

Publications by members of this group are organized by category and may be downloaded at the links provided below. Members of the press may contact Katharine Reich for more information or to request access to the studies.

Climate Feedbacks and Emergent Constraints | Regional Climate Dynamics | Interdisciplinary


Climate Feedbacks and Emergent Constraints  learn more

Thackeray CW, X Qu, and A Hall, 2018: Why do models produce spread in snow albedo feedback? Geophysical Research Letters, 45(12): 6223–6231. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL078493  download

Qu X, A Hall, AM DeAngelis, MD Zelinka, SA Klein, H Su, B Tian, and C Zhai, 2018: On the emergent constraints of climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate, 31(2): 863–875. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0482.1 download

Klein SA, A Hall, JR Norris, and R Pincus, 2017: Low-cloud feedbacks from cloud-controlling factors: a review. Surveys in Geophysics, 38(6): 1307–1329. DOI: 10.1007/s10712-017-9433-3  download

DeAngelis A, X Qu, and A Hall, 2016: Importance of vegetation processes for model spread in the fast precipitation response to CO2 forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 12550-12559. DOI:
10.1002/2016GL071392 download | learn more

Brient F, T Schneider, Z Tan, S Bony, X Qu, and A Hall, 2016: Shallowness of tropical low clouds as a predictor of climate models' response to warming. Climate Dynamics, 47(1), 433-449. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2846-0 download

DeAngelis A, X Qu, MD Zelinka, and A Hall, 2015: An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification. Nature, 528, 249-253. DOI: 10.1038/nature15770.
download | learn more | FAQ

Qu X, A Hall, SA Klein, and A DeAngelis, 2015: Positive tropical marine low-cloud cover feedback inferred from cloud-controlling factors. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(1), 7767-7775. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL065627. download | learn more


Klein SA, and A Hall, 2015: Emergent constraints for cloud feedbacks. Current Climate Change Reports, 1(4), 276-287. DOI: 10.1007/s40641-015-0027-1 download

Qu X, A Hall, SA Klein, and PM Caldwell, 2015: The strength of the tropical inversion and its response to climate change in 18 CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 45(1-2), 375-396. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2441-9 download | learn more

Qu X, A Hall, SA Klein, and PM Caldwell, 2014: On the spread of changes in marine low cloud cover in climate model simulations of the 21st century. Climate Dynamics, 42(9-10), 2603-2626. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1945-z download | learn more

Qu X and A Hall, 2014: On the persistent spread in snow-albedo feedback. Climate Dynamics, 42(1-2), 69-81. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1945-z download | learn more

Flato G, et al., 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. download

Boe J, A Hall, and X Qu, 2013: Reply to "Comments on 'Current GCMs' Unrealistic Negative Feedback in the Arctic.'" Journal of Climate, 26(19), 7789-7792. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00723.1 download

Pavelsky T, J Boe, A Hall, and E Fetzer, 2011: Atmospheric inversion strength over polar oceans in winter regulated by sea ice. Climate Dynamics, 36, 945-955. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0756-8 download | learn more

Boe J, A Hall, and X Qu, 2010: Sources of spread in simulations of Arctic sea ice loss over the twenty-first century. Climatic Change, 99, 637-645. DOI: 10.1007/S10584-010-9809-6 download

Boe J, A Hall, and X Qu, 2010: Correction to "Deep ocean heat uptake as a major source of spread in transient climate change simulations." Geophysical Research Letters, 37(17), L17701. DOI: 10.1029/2010GL044726 download

Boe J, A Hall, and X Qu, 2009: Deep ocean heat uptake as a major source of spread in transient climate change simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L22701. DOI: 10.1029/2009GL040845 download | learn more

Fernandes R, H Zhao, X Wang, J Key, X Qu, and A Hall, 2009: Controls on northern hemisphere snow albedo feedback quantified using satellite Earth observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L21702. DOI: 10.1029/2009GL040057 download 

Boe J, A Hall, and X Qu, 2009: September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100. Nature Geoscience, 2, 341-343. DOI: 10.1038/NGE0467 download | learn more

Fletcher C, P Kushner, A Hall, and X Qu, 2009: Circulation responses to snow albedo feedback in climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L09702. DOI: 10.1029/2009GL038011 download | learn more

Boe J, A Hall, and X Qu, 2009: Current GCMs' unrealistic negative feedback in the Arctic. Journal of Climate, 22, 4682-4695. DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2885.1  download | learn more

Hall A, X Qu, and JD Neelin, 2008: Improving predictions of summer climate change in the United States. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L01702. DOI: 10.1029/2007GL032012 download | learn more

Qu X, and A Hall, 2007: What controls the strength of snow albedo feedback? Journal of Climate, 20, 3971-3981. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4186.1 download | learn more

Bony S, R Colman, V Kattsov, RP Allan, CS Bretherton, J-L Dufresne, A Hall, S Hallegatte, MM Holland, W Ingram, DA Randall, BJ Soden, G Tselioudis, and MJ Webb, 2006: How well do we understand climate change feedback processes? Journal of Climate, 19, 3445-3482. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3819.1 download

Qu X, and A Hall, 2006: Assessing snow albedo feedback in simulated climate change. Journal of Climate, 19, 2617-2630. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3750.1 download | learn more

Hall A, and X Qu, 2006: Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L03502. DOI: 10.1029/2005GL025127 download | learn more

Qu X, and A Hall, 2005: Surface contribution to planetary albedo variability in cryosphere regions. Journal of Climate, 18, 5239-5252. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3555.1 download

Medeiros B, A Hall, and B Stevens, 2005: What controls the mean depth of the PBL? Journal of Climate, 18, 3157-3172. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3417.1 download | learn more

Hall A, A Clement, DWJ Thompson, A Broccoli, and C Jackson, 2005: The importance of atmospheric dynamics in the northern hemisphere wintertime climate response to changes in earth's orbit. Journal of Climate, 18, 1315-1325. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3327.1 download | learn more

Clement A, A Hall, and A Broccoli, 2004: The importance of precessional signals in the tropical climate. Climate Dynamics, 22, 327-341. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-003-0375-8 download | learn more

Hall A, 2004: The role of surface albedo feedback in climate. Journal of Climate, 17, 1550-1568. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017
<1550:TROSAF>2.0.CO;2
download | learn more

Visbeck M, and A Hall, 2004: Reply: Interannual southern hemisphere atmospheric variability in the NCEP reanalysis between 1980 and 2002. Journal of Climate, 17, 2255-2258. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017
<2255:R>2.0.CO;2
download

Hall A, 2003: Mathematical models of human-induced climate change. In Mathematical Models, edited by Jerzy Filar, in Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS). Developed under the auspices of the UNESCO, EOLSS Publishers, Oxford, UK. download

Hall A, and M Visbeck, 2002: Synchronous variability in the southern hemisphere atmosphere, sea ice, and ocean resulting from the annular mode. Journal of Climate, 15, 3043-3057. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)
015<3043:SVITSH>2.0.CO;2
download | learn more

Hall A, and RJ Stouffer, 2001: An abrupt climate event in a coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation without external forcing. Nature, 409, 171-174. DOI: 10.1038/35051544 download

Hall A, and S Manabe, 2000: ENSO suppression in a coupled model without water vapor feedback. Climate Dynamics, 16, 393-403. DOI: 10.1007/s003820050336 download

Hall A, and S Manabe, 2000: The effect of water vapor feedback on internal and anthropogenic variations of the global hydrologic cycle. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105(D5), 6935-6944. download

Hall A, and S Manabe, 1999: The role of water vapor feedback in unperturbed climate variability and global warming. Journal of Climate, 12, 2327-2346. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<2327:TROWVF>2.0.CO;2 download

Hall A, and S Manabe, 1997: Can local, linear stochastic theory explain sea surface temperature and salinity variability? Climate Dynamics, 13, 167-180. DOI: 10.1007/s003820050158 download

Regional Climate Dynamics  learn more

Huang X, A Hall, and N Berg, 2018: Anthropogenic warming impacts on today's Sierra Nevada snowpack and flood risk. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(12): 6215–6222. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL077432  download

Swain DL, B Langenbrunner, JD Neelin, and A Hall, 2018: Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California. Nature Climate Change, 7: 427–433. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0140-y  download

Maraun, D, TG Shepherd, M Widmann, G Zappa, DB Walton, JM Gutiérrez, S Hagemann, I Richter, PMM Soares, A Hall, and LO Mearns, 2017: Toward process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations. Nature Climate Change, 7: 764–773. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3418  download

Schwartz M, A Hall, F Sun, DB Walton, and N Berg, 2017: Significant and inevitable end-of-21st-century advances in surface runoff timing in California's Sierra Nevada. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(12): 3181–3197. DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0257.1 download

Walton, DB, and A Hall, 2017: An assessment of high-resolution gridded temperature datasets. Journal of Climate, 31(10): 3789–3810. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0410.1. download | access data

Berg N and A Hall, 2017: Anthropogenic warming impacts on California snowpack during drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(5), 2511–2518. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL072104 download

Pau, GSH, DB Walton, and S Touzani, 2017: An objective statistical downscaling technique for emulating WRF. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, submitted. download | access data

Walton DB, A Hall, N Berg, M Schwartz, and F Sun, 2017: Incorporating snow albedo feedback into downscaled temperature and snow cover projections for California's Sierra Nevada. Journal of Climate, 30(4): 1417-1438. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0168.1  download | learn more

Schwartz M, A Hall, F Sun, DB Walton, and N Berg, 2016: Significant and inevitable end-of-21st-century advances in surface runoff timing in California's Sierra Nevada. Journal of Hydrometeorology, submitted. download

Renault L, MJ Molemaker, JC McWilliams, AF Shchepetkin, F Lemarie, D Chelton, S Illig, and A Hall, 2016: Modulation of wind-work by ocean current interaction with the atmosphere. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46(6), 1685-1704. DOI: 10.1175/JPO-D-15-0232.1 download

Sun F, A Hall, M Schwartz, DB Walton, and N Berg, 2016: Twenty-first century snowfall and snowpack changes over the Southern California mountains. Journal of Climate, 29(1), 91-110. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0199.1 download

Jousse A, A Hall, F Sun, and J Teixeira, 2016: Causes of WRF energy fluxes biases in a stratocumulus region. Climate Dynamics, 46(1), 571-584. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2599-9 download

Huang, H-Y, and A Hall, 2016: A physically based hybrid framework to estimate daily-mean surface fluxes over complex terrain. Climate Dynamics, 46(11): 3883-3897. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2810-z. download

Xie, S-P, C Deser, G Vecchi, M Collins, T Delworth, A Hall, E Hawkins, N Johnson, C Cassou, A Giannini, and M Watanabe, 2015: Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change: Issues and opportunities for progress. Nature Climate Change, 5, 921-930. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2689 download

Schwartz M, A Hall, and F Sun, 2015: Mean surface runoff insensitive to warming in a key Mediterranean-type climate: a case study of the Los Angeles region. Journal of Climate, in review. download

Berg N and A Hall, 2015: Increased interannual precipitation extremes over California under climate change. Journal of Climate, 28(16), 6324-6334. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00624.1 download | learn more

Sun F, D Walton, and A Hall, 2015: A hybrid dynamical-statistical downscaling technique, part II: End-of-century warming projections predict a new climate state in the Los Angeles region. Journal of Climate, 28(12): 4618-4636. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00197.1 download | learn more

Walton D, F Sun, A Hall, and SC Capps, 2015: A hybrid dynamical-statistical downscaling technique, part I: Development and validation of the technique. Journal of Climate, 28(12): 4597-4617. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00196.1 download | learn more

Renault L, A Hall, and JC McWilliams, 2015: Orographic shaping of US west coast wind profiles during the upwelling season. Climate Dynamics, 46(1), 273-289. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2583-4 download

Berg N, A Hall, F Sun, SC Capps, D Walton, B Langenbrunner, and JD Neelin, 2015: 21st-century precipitation changes over the Los Angeles region. Journal of Climate, 28(2): 401-421. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-003161.1 download | learn more

Huang, H-Y, S Capps, S-C Huang, and A Hall, 2015: Downscaling near-surface wind over complex terrain using a physically-based statistical modeling approach. Climate Dynamics, 44(1-2): 529-542. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2137-1 download

Hall A, 2014: Projecting regional change. Science, 346 (6216): 1461-1462. DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa0629 download

Christensen JH, et al., 2013: Climate phenomena and their relevance for future regional climate change. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. download

Neelin, JD, B Langenbrunner, JE Meyerson, A Hall, and N Berg, 2013: California winter precipitation change under global warming in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 ensemble. Journal of Climate, 26, 6238-6256. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00514.1 download | learn more

Huang, HY, A Hall. and J Teixeira, 2013: Evaluation of the WRF PBL parameterizations for marine boundary layer clouds: Cumulus and stratocumulus. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 2265-2271download

Toniazzo T, F Sun F, CR Mechoso, and A Hall, 2013: A regional modeling study of the diurnal cycle in the lower troposphere in the south-eastern tropical Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 41(7-8), 1899-1922. download

Berg N, A Hall, SB Capps, and M Hughes, 2013: El Nino-Southern Oscillation impacts on winter winds over Southern California. Climate Dynamics, 40(1-2), 109-121. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1461-6. download | learn more

Kapnick S, and A Hall, 2012: Causes of recent changes in western North American snowpack. Climate Dynamics, 38(9-10), 1885-1899. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1089-y download

Sun F, A Hall, and X Qu, 2011: On the relationship between low cloud
variability and lower tropospheric stability in the Southeast Pacific. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11, 9053
-9065. DOI: 10.5194/acp-11-9053-2011 download

Pavelsky T, S Kapnick, and A Hall, 2011: Accumulation and melt dynamics of snowpack from a multiresolution regional climate model in the central Sierra Nevada, California. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D16115. DOI: 10.1029/2010JD015479 download

Dong, C,  JC McWilliams,  A Hall, and M Hughes, 2011: Numerical simulation of a synoptic event in the Southern California Bight. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 116, C05018. DOI: 10.1029/2010JC006578 download

Lee WL, KN Liou, and A Hall, 2011: Parameterization of solar fluxes over mountain surfaces for application to climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D01101. DOI: 10.1029/2010JD014722 download | learn more

Waliser D, J Kim, Y Xue, Y Chao, A Eldering, R Fovell, A Hall, Q Li, KN Liou, J McWilliams, F De Sale, and Y Yu: 2011: Simulating cold season snowpack: Impacts of snow albedo and multi-layer snow physics. Climatic Change, 109(S1), 95-117. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0312-5 download

Hughes M, A Hall, and J Kim, 2011: Human-induced changes in wind, temperature and relative humidity during Santa Ana events. Climatic Change, 109(S1), 119-132. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0200-9 download | learn more

Qu X, A Hall, and J Boe, 2010: Why does the Antarctic Peninsula warm in climate simulations? Climate Dynamics, 38(5-6), 913-927. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1092-3 download

Boe J, A Hall, F Colas, JC McWilliams, X Qu, J Kurian, SB Kapnick, and H Frenzel, 2010: What shapes mesoscale wind anomalies in coastal upwelling zones? Climate Dynamics, 36, 2037-2049. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1058-5 download | learn more

Kapnick S and A Hall, 2010: Observed climate-snowpack relationships in California and their implications for the future. Journal of Climate, 23, 3446-3456. DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI203.1 download

Hughes M and A Hall, 2010: Local and synoptic mechanisms causing Southern California's Santa Ana winds. Climate Dynamics, 34(6), 847-857. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-009-0650-4  download | learn more  

Hughes M, A Hall, and RG Fovell, 2009: Blocking in areas of complex topography, and its influence on rainfall distribution. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66, 508-518. DOI: 10.1175/2008JAS2689.1  download | learn more

Liou KN, WL Lee, and A Hall, 2007: Radiative transfer in mountains: Application to the Tibetan Plateau, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L23809. DOI: 10.1029/2007GL031762 download

Hughes M, A Hall, and RG Fovell, 2007: Dynamical controls on the diurnal cycle of temperature in complex topography. Climate Dynamics, 29, 277-292. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0239-8 download | learn more

Chen Y, A Hall, KN Liou, 2006: Application of three-dimensional solar radiative transfer to mountains, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 111, D21111. DOI: 10.1029/2006JD007163. download

Conil S and A Hall, 2006: Local regimes of atmospheric variability: A case study of Southern California. Journal of Climate, 19, 4308-4325. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3837.1 download | learn more

Interdisciplinary Research  learn more

Vahmani P, F Sun, A Hall, and G Ban-Weiss, 2016: Investigating the climate impacts of urbanization and the potential for cool roofs to counter future climate change in Southern California. Environmental Research Letters, 11(12): 124027. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124027 download

Jin Y, ML Goulden, N Faivre, S Veraverbeke, F Sun, A Hall, MS Hand, S Hook, and JT Randerson, 2015: Identification of two distinct fire regimes in Southern California: Implications for economic impact and future change. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 094005. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094005 download

Jin Y, JT Randerson, N Faivre, SC Capps, A Hall, and ML Goulden, 2014: Contrasting controls on wildland fires in Southern California during periods with and without Santa Ana winds. Journal of Geophysical Research, 119(3), 432-450. DOI: 10.1002/2013JG002541 download

Capps SB, A Hall, and M Hughes, 2014: Sensitivity of Southern California wind energy to turbine characteristics. Wind Energy, 17(1), 141-159. DOI: 10.1002/we.1570 download

Moritz M, T Moody, M Krawchuk, M Hughes, and A Hall, 2010: Spatial variation in extreme winds predicts large wildfire locations in chaparral ecosystems. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L04801. DOI: 10.1029/2009GL041735. download | learn more

Derevianko G, C Deutsch, and A Hall, 2009: On the relationship between DMS and solar radiation. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L17606. DOI: 10.1029/2009GL039412 download



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