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Publications

Links from the titles below are to abstracts with download links for most publications (in pdf format; requires Adobe® Reader®.

Highlighted papers: Textbook:
Nature Highlights - February 2017; Lasting heavy rains to come.

Environmental Research Letters (ERL) best article of 2008
NSF Research Highlight - June 2006
Nature Highlights - June 2006
AGU Journal Highlights - January 2004
BAMS Paper link of Note - September 2002

Neelin, J. D., 2011: Climate Change and Climate Modeling.
Cambridge Univ. Press., Cambridge, UK.
Purchase info.
Supplemental Material Webpage

  • Recent conference abstracts

  • Refereed Journal articles — Jump to papers from the year:
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    revised 02/2018

    Recent submissions, accepted papers, and papers in press

    Kuo, Y.-H., K. A. Schiro, and J. D. Neelin, 2018: Convective transition statistics over tropical oceans for climate model diagnostics: Observational baseline. J. Atmos. Sci., accepted 02/2018.

    Ahmed, F. and J. D. Neelin, 2018: Reverse engineering the tropical precipitation-buoyancy relationship. J. Atmos. Sci., accepted 02/2018.

    Martinez-Villalobos, C., D. J. Vimont, C. Penland, M. Newman and J. D. Neelin: Calculating state-dependent noise in a linear inverse model framework. J. Atmos. Sci., submitted 01/2018.


  • 2018

    Schiro, K. A. and Neelin, J. D.: Tropical continental downdraft characteristics: mesoscale systems versus unorganized convection. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 1997-2010, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-1997-2018, 2018. [DOE: DE-SC0011074; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274]

    Chekroun, M. D., M. Ghil, and J. D. Neelin: Pullback attractor crisis in a delay differential ENSO model. In Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, A Tsonis (Ed.), Springer, 2018. [ONR (MURI): N00014-12-1-0911and N00014-16-1-2073; NSF: OCE-1243175, DMS-1616981, and AGS-1540518].


    2017

    Langenbrunner, B. and J. D. Neelin: Pareto-Optimal Estimates of California Precipitation Change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44(44), 12,436-12,446, doi:10.1002/2017GL075226. [NSF: AGS-1540518; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274]

    Langenbrunner, B. and J. D. Neelin: Multiobjective constraints for climate model parameter choices: Pragmatic Pareto fronts in CESM1. . Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9(5), 2008-2026, doi: 10.1002/2017MS000942. [NSF: AGS-1540518; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274 and NA15OAR4310097]

    Quinn, K. M., and J. D. Neelin, 2017: Distributions of Tropical Precipitation Cluster Power and Their Changes Under Global Warming. Part I: observational baseline and comparison to a high-resolution atmospheric model. J. Climate, 30, 8033-8044, doi:0.1175/JCLI-D-16-0683.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF: AGS-1540518; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274 and NA15OAR4310097]

    Quinn, K. M., and J. D. Neelin, 2017: Distributions of Tropical Precipitation Cluster Power and Their Changes Under Global Warming. Part II: long-term time- dependence in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models. J. Climate, 30, 8045-8059, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0701.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF: AGS-1540518; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274 and NA15OAR4310097]

    Su, H. et al., 2017: Tightening of tropical ascent and high clouds key to precipitation change in a warmer climate. Nature Communications, 8 15771, doi:10.1038/ncomms15771. Nature Journal link. [NASA NEWS, AST, MAP, NDOA and NSF]

    Kuo, Y.-H., J. D. Neelin, and C. R. Mechoso: Tropical convective transition statistics and causality in the water vapor-precipitation relation. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 915-930, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-16-0182.1. AMS Journal link [DOE: DE-SC0011074; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274 and NA15OAR4310097; NSF: AGS-1540518]

    Lintner, B. R., D. K. Adams, K. A. Schiro, A. M. Stansfield, A.A.Amorim Rocha, J. D. Neelin, 2017: Relationships among climatological vertical moisture structure, column water vapor, and precipitation over the central Amazon in observations and CMIP5 models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 1981-1989, doi:10.1002/2016GL071923. AGU Journal link []

    Neelin, J. D., S. Sahany, S. N. Stechmann, and D. N. Bernstein, 2017: Global warming precipitation accumulation increases above the current-climate cutoff scale, Proc. Nat. Acd. Sci., 114, 1258-1263, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1615333114. PNAS Journal link


    2016

    Lintner, B. R., B. Langenbrunner, J. D. Neelin, B. T. Anderson, M. J. Niznik, G. Li, S.-P. Xie, 2016: Characterizing CMIP5 model spread in simulated rainfall in the Pacific Intertropical Convergence and South Pacific Convergence Zones. J. Geophys. Res., 21, 11,590-11,607, doi:10.1002/2016JD025284. AGU Journal link

    Ji, X., J. D. Neelin and C. R. Mechoso, 2016: Baroclinic-to-barotropic pathway in El Niño/Southern Oscillation teleconnections from the viewpoint of a barotropic Rossby wave source. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 4989-5002, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-16-0053.1. AMS Journal link.

    Abbott, T. H., S. N. Stechmann, and J. D. Neelin, 2016: Long temporal autocorrelations in tropical precipitation data and spike train prototypes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL071282. AGU Journal link.
    [ONR: N00014-12-1-0912, N00014-12-1-0744; NSF DMS-1209409, AGS-1540518, a Sloan Research Fellowship; NOAA: NA14OAR4310274].

    Schiro, K. A., J. D. Neelin, D. K. Adams, and B. R. Lintner, 2016: Deep Convection and Column Water Vapor over Tropical Land vs. Tropical Ocean: A comparison between the Amazon and the Tropical Western Pacific. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 4043-4063, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-16-0119.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF: AGS-1102838, AGS-1505198, DOE:DE-SC0011074, DE-SC0011069, NOAA: NA14OAR4310274, NA15OAR4310097.]

    Bernstein, D. N. and J. D. Neelin, 2016: Identifying sensitive ranges in global warming precipitation change dependence on convective parameters. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 5841–5850, doi:10.1002/2016GL069022. AGU Journal link.
    [NSF: AGS-1102838/AGS-1540518, DOE: DE-SC0006739, NOAA: NA14OAR4310274.]

    Xue, Y., C. M. Oaida, I. Diallo, J. D. Neelin, S. Li, Fi. De Sales; Y. Gu, D. A. Robinson, R. Vasic, and L. Yi, 2016: Spring land temperature anomalies in northwestern US and the summer drought over Southern Plains and adjacent areas. Env. Res. Lett., 11, 44,018-44029(12), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044018. IOPScience Journal link. [NSF:AGS-1346813, AGS-1115506 and AGS-1540518]


    2015

    Loikith, P. C., and J. D. Neelin, 2015: Short-tailed Temperature Distributions over North America and Implications for Future Changes in Extremes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 8577-8585, doi:10.1002/2015GL065602. AGU Journal Link. [NSF AGS-1102838/AGS-1540518 and NOAA NA14OAR4310274 (JDN) and NASA NCA 11-NCA11-0028 (PCL).]

    Ji, X., J. D. Neelin and C. R. Mechoso, 2015: El Niño-Southern Oscillation Sea Level Pressure Anomalies in the Western Pacific: Why are they there? J. Climate, 28, 8860-8872. AMS Journal Link. [NSF: AGS-1102838 and AGS-1041477; NOAA: NA11OAR4310099 and NA14OAR4310274]

    Langenbrunner, B., J. D. Neelin, B. R. Lintner, and B. T. Anderson, 2015: Regional patterns of precipitation change uncertainty among CMIP5 models, with a focus on the midlatitude Pacific storm track. J. Climate, 28, 7857-7872, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00800.1. AMS Journal Link. [NFS grant AGS-1102838; NOAA grants NA11OAR4310099 and NA14OAR4310274.]

    Chang, E. K., C. Zheng, P. Lanigan, A. M. Yau, and J. D. Neelin, 2015: Significant modulation of variability and projected change in California winter precipitation by extratropical cyclone activity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 5983-5991, doi: 10.1002/2015GL064424. AGU Journal link. [NSF grants AGS-1540518 and AGS-1540518].

    Anderson, B. T., B. R. Lintner, B. Langenbrunner, J. D. Neelin, E. Hawkins and J. Syktus, 2015, Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1190-1196. doi: 10.1002/2014GL062593. AGU Journal Link. [DOE grant DE-SC0004975; NSF grants NSF-AGS-1312865 and AGS-1102838; NOAA grants NA11OAR4310099 and NA14OAR4310274]

    Loikith, P. C., D. E. Waliser, H. Lee, J. D. Neelin, B. R. Lintner, S. McGinnis, L. O. Mearns, J. Kim, 2015: Evaluation of large-scale meteorological patterns associated with temperature extremes in the NARCCAP regional climate model simulations. Clim. Dyn., 45, 3257–3274, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2537-x. Springer Journal link.
    [grants: NASA 11-NCA11-0028; NSF AGS-1102838]

    Loikith, P. C., D. E. Waliser, H. Lee, J. Kim, J. D. Neelin, B. R. Lintner, S. McGinnis, C. A. Mattmann and L. O. Mearns, 2015: Surface Temperature Probability Distributions in the NARCCAP Hindcast Experiment: Evaluation Methodology, Metrics and Results. J. Climate, 28, 978-997, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00457.1. AMS Journal Link
    [grants: NASA 11-NCA11-0028; AIST AIST-QRS-12-0002; NSF ExArch 1125798; NOAA NOAANA11OAR4310099]

    Berg, N., A. Hall, F. Sun, S. Capps, D. Walton, B. Langenbrunner, and J. D. Neelin, 2015: Twenty-First-Century Precipitation Changes over the Los Angeles Region. J. Climate, 28, 401-421. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00316.1. AMS Journal Link
    [grants: NSF EF-1065863, AGS-1102838]


    2014

    Sahany, S., J. D. Neelin, K. Hales and R. B. Neale, 2014: Deep Convective Transition Characteristics in the NCAR CCSM and Changes Under Global Warming. J. Climate., 27, 9214-9232. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00747.1. AMS Journal Link

    Seager, R., J. D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting, and B. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and thermodynamical causes of large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle over North America in response to global warming. J. Climate, 27, 7921-7948, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1. AMS Journal Link

    Su, H., J. H. Jiang, C. Zhai, T. J. Shen, J. D. Neelin, G. L. Stephens and Y. L. Yung, 2014: Weakening and Strengthening Structures in the Hadley Circulation Change Under Global Warming and Implications for Cloud Response and Climate Sensitivity. J. Geophys. Res., 119, 5787-5805, doi:10.1002/2014JD021642. AGU Journal link.

    Stechmann, S. N. and J. D. Neelin, 2014: First-Passage-Time Prototypes for Precipitation Statistics. J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 3269-3291, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-13-0268.1. AMS Journal link.

    J.-L. F. Li, W.-L. Lee, D. E. Waliser, J. D. Neelin, J. P. Stachnik and T. Lee: 2014 Cloud-Precipitation-Radiation-Dynamics Interaction in Global Climate Models: A Snow and Radiation Interaction Sensitivity Experiment. J. Geophys. Res., 119(7), 3809-3824, doi:10.1002/2013JD021038. AGU Journal link

    Maloney, E. D. and coauthors, 2014: North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part III: Assessment of 21st Century Projections. J. Climate, 27, 2230-2270, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1. AMS Journal link.

    A. K. Tripati, S. Sahany, D. Pittmann, R. A. Eagle, J. D. Neelin, J. L. Mitchell, and L. Beaufort, 2014: Modern and glacial tropical snowlines controlled by sea surface temperature and atmospheric mixing. Nature Geosciences, 7, 205-209, doi:10.1038/ngeo2082. Nature Journal link.

    Chekroun, M. D., J. D. Neelin, D. Kondrashov, J. C. McWilliams and M. Ghil, 2014: Rough parameter dependence in climate models and the role of Ruelle-Pollicott resonances Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 111, 1684-1690, doi:10.1073/pnas.1321816111. PNAS Journal link.

    Ji, X., J. D. Neelin, S.-K. Lee and C. R. Mechoso, 2014: Interhemispheric teleconnections from tropical heat sources in intermediate and simple models. J. Climate, 7, 684-697, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00017.1. AMS Journal link.


    2013 top

    Lee, S.-K., C. Mechoso, C. Wang, and J. Neelin, 2013: Interhemispheric influence of the northern summer monsoons on southern subtropical anticyclones. J. Climate, 26, 10193-10204, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00106.1. AMS Journal link.

    Sheffield, J. and coauthors, 2013: North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of 20th Century Continental and Regional Climatology. J. Climate, 26, 9209-9245, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00592.1. AMS Journal link.

    Sheffield, J. and coauthors, 2013: North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of 20th Century Intra-Seasonal to Decadal Variability. J. Climate, 26, 9247-9290, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00593.1. AMS Journal link.

    Ma, H.-Y., C. R. Mechoso, Y. Xue, H. Xiao, J. D. Neelin, and X. Ji, 2013: On the connection between continental-scale land surface processes and the tropical climate in a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system. J. Climate, 26, 9006-9025, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00819.1. AMS Journal link.

    Loikith, P. C., B. R. Lintner, J. Kim, H. Lee, J. D. Neelin, and D. E. Waliser, 2013: Classifying reanalysis surface temperature probability density functions over North America with cluster analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3710-3714, doi:10.1002/grl.50688. AGU Journal link.

    Eagle, R. A., C. Risi, J. L. Mitchell, J. M. Eiler, U. Seibt, J. D. Neelin, G. Li, A. K. Tripati, 2013: High regional climate sensitivity over continental China inferred from glacial--recent changes in temperature and the hydrologic cycle. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 110 (22), 8813-8818, doi:10.1073/pnas.1213366110. PNAS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., B. Langenbrunner, J. E. Meyerson, A. Hall, and N. Berg, 2013: California winter precipitation change under global warming in theCoupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 ensemble. J. Climate, 26, 6238-6256, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00514.1. AMS Journal link

    Bracco, A., J. D. Neelin, H. Luo, J. C. McWilliams, and J. E. Meyerson, 2013: High dimensional decision dilemmas in climate models. Geosci. Model Dev., Discuss., 6, 2731-2767, doi:10.5194/gmdd-6-2731-2013. EGU Journal link

    Langenbrunner, B. and J. D. Neelin, 2013: Analyzing ENSO teleconnections in CMIP models as a measure of model fidelity in simulating precipitation. J. Climate, 26, 4431-4446, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00542.1. AMS Journal link

    Bernstein, D. N., J. D. Neelin, Q. B. Li, and D. Chen, 2013: Could aerosol emissions be used for regional heat wave mitigation? Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 373-6390, doi:10.5194/acp-13-6373-2013.


    2012 top

    Lintner, B. R., G. Bellon, A. H. Sobel, K. Daehyun and J. D. Neelin, 2012: Implementation of the Quasi-equilibrium Tropical Circulation 1 Model 2 (QTCM2): Global simulations and convection sensitivity to free tropospheric moisture. J. Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 4, M12002, doi:10.1029/2012MS000174. Journal link.

    J.-E. Lee and coauthors, 2012: Reduction of tropical land region precipitation variability via transpiration. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L19704, doi:10.1029/2012GL053417. AGU journal link

    Peters, O., K. Christensen and J. D. Neelin, 2012: Rainfall and Dragon-Kings. The European Physical Journal, 205, 147-158, doi:10.1140/epjst/e2012-01567-5. Journal link. [NSF AGS-1102838, ZONlabs ltd.]

    Ruff, T. W. and J. D. Neelin, 2012: Long tails in regional surface temperature probability distributions with implications for extremes under global warming Geophys. Res. Lett, 39, L04704, doi:10.1029/2011GL050610. AGU Journal link. [NSF AGS-1102838, NOAA NA08OAR4310597 and MAPP10689676]

    Sahany, S., J. D. Neelin, K. Hales, and R. Neale: Temperature-moisture dependence of the deep convective transition as a constraint on entrainment in climate models. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 1340-1358, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-11-0164.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF AGS-1102838, NOAA NA11OAR4310099, DOE DE-SC0006739]


    2011 top

    Stechmann, S. and J. D. Neelin, 2011: A stochastic model for the transition to strong convection J. Climate, 68, 2955-2970, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-11-028.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF ATM-0645200, NOAA NA08OAR4310882]

    Neelin, J. D., 2011: Climate Change and Climate Modeling. Cambridge Univ. Press., Cambridge, UK. Purchase info.
    Supplemental Material Webpage

    Lintner, B. R., C. E. Holloway and J. D. Neelin: Column water vapor statistics and their relationship to deep convection and vertical horizontal circulation, and moisture structure at Nauru. J. Climate, 24, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05015.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF ATM-0645200, NOAA NA08OAR4310597]

    Findell, K. L., P. Gentine, B. R. Lintner, and C. Kerr, 2011: Probability of afternoon precipitation in eastern United States and Mexico enhanced by high evaporation. Nature Geoscience, 4(7), doi:10.1038/NGEO1174. Nature Journal link.

    Ma, H.-Y., X. Ji, J. D. Neelin and C. R. Mechoso, 2011: Mechanisms for precipitation variability of the Eastern Brazil/SACZ convective margin. J. Climate, 34, 3445-3456, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4070.1. AMS Journal link. [NOAA NA08OAR4310597, NA08OAR4310882; NSF ATM-0645200, AGS-1102838]


    2010 top

    Neelin, J. D., A. Bracco, H. Luo, J. C. McWilliams, and J. E. Meyerson, 2010: Considerations for parameter optimization and sensitivity in climate models. Proc. Nat. Acd. Sci., 107(47), doi:10.1073/pnas.1015473107. Open Access Paper. Supplement 100 KB. [NSF ATM-0645200, NOAA NA08OAR4310882]

    Peters, O., A. Deluca, A. Corral, J. D. Neelin and C. E. Holloway, 2010: Universality of rain event size distributions. J. Stat. Mech., P11030, doi: 10.1088/1742-5468/2010/11/P11030. Journal link. [NSF ATM-0645200, NOAA NA08OAR4310882]

    Su, H., J. H. Jiang, J. D. Neelin, B. H. Kahn, J. W. Waters, N. J. Livesey, and Y. Gu, 2010: Reply to: Comments on "Variations of tropical upper tropospheric clouds with sea surface temperature and implications for radiative effects". J. Geophys. Res., 115, D06203, doi:10.1029/2009JD012872. AGU Journal link.

    Park, H.-S., J. C H. Chiang, B. R. Lintner, and G. J. Zhang, 2010: The delayed effect of major El Nino events on Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Clim., 23, 932-946, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2916.1. AMS Journal link. [NSF ATM-0645200, ATM-0438201, ATM-0601781]

    Lintner, B. R. and J. D. Neelin: Tropical South America/Atlantic sector convective margins and their relationship to low-level inflow. J. Clim., 23, 2671-2685, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3301.1. AMS Journal link. [NOAA NA08OAR4310597, NSF ATM-0645200]

    Holloway, C. E. and J. D. Neelin, 2010: Temporal Relations of column water vapor and tropical precipitation. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1091-1105, doi:10.1175/2009JAS3284.1. AMS Journal link. [NOAA NA08OAR4310597, NSF ATM-0645200]

    Neelin, J. D., B. R. Lintner, B. Tian, Q. Li, L. Zhang, P. K. Patra, M. T. Chahine, and S. N. Stechmann, 2010: Long tails in deep columns of natural and anthropogenic tropospheric tracers. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L05804, doi:10.1029/2009GL041726. AGU Journal link. [NSF ATM-0645200, NOAA NA08OAR4310882, NASA NNX09AF07G]


    2009 top

    Neelin, J. D., O. Peters, J. W.-B. Lin, K. Hales and C. E. Holloway, 2009: Rethinking convective quasi-equilibrium: observational constraints for stochastic convective schemes in climate models In Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling, T. N. Palmer and P. D. Williams, eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. EXiS Open Choice Paper (PDF 460KB).

    Peters, O. and J. D. Neelin, 2009: Atmospheric convection as a continuous phase transition: further evidence. International J. Modern Physics B, 23, 5453-5465, doi:10.1142/S0217979209063778. IJMPB Journal link

    Peters, O., J. D. Neelin, and S. W. Nesbitt, 2009: Mesoscale convective systems and critical clusters. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 2913-2924, doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2761.1. AMS Journal link.

    Lintner, B. R. and J. D. Neelin, 2009: Soil moisture impacts on convective margins. J. Hydrometeor., 10, 1026-1039, doi:10.1175/2009JHM1094.1 AMS Journal Link.

    Neelin, J. D., O. Peters, and K. Hales, 2009: The transition to strong convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 2367-2384, doi:10.1175/2009JAS2962.1. AMS Journal link.

    Holloway, C. E. and J. D. Neelin, 2009: Moisture vertical structure, column water vapor, and tropical deep convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 1665-1683. doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2806.1. AMS Journal link.

    Chou, C., J. D. Neelin, C.-A. Chen and J.-Y. Tu, 2009: Evaluating the rich-get-richer mechanism in tropical precipitation change under global warming. J. Climate, 22, 1982-2005, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2471.1. AMS Journal link

    Patra, P.K., M. Takigawa, G. S. Dutton, K. Uhse, K. Ishijima, B. R. Lintner, K. Miyazaki, and J. W. Elkins, 2009: Transport mechanisms for synoptic, seasonal and interannual SF6 variations and "age" of air in the troposphere. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 1209-1225, doi:10.5194/acp-9-1209-2009. EGU Journal link.


    2008 top

    Su, H., J. H. Jiang, Y. Gu, J. David Neelin, B. H. Kahn, D. Feldman, Y. L. Yung, J. W. Waters, N. J. Livesey and M. L. Santee, 2008: Variation of tropical upper tropospheric clouds with sea surface temperature and implications for radiative effects J. Geophys. Res., 113, D10211, doi:10.1029/2007JD009624. AGU Article.

    Lintner, B. R. and J. D. Neelin, 2008: Eastern margin variability of the South Pacific Convergence Zone. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L16701, doi:10.1029/2008GL034298. AGU journal link

    Neelin, J. D., O. Peters, J. W.-B. Lin, K. Hales and C. E. Holloway, 2008: Rethinking convective quasi-equilibrium: observational constraints for stochastic convective schemes in climate models Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. A, 366, 2581-2604. doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0056.
    EXiS Open Choice paper.

    Lintner, B. R. and J. D. Neelin, 2008: Time scales and spatial patterns of passive ocean-atmosphere decay modes. J. Climate, 21, 2187-2203. doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1913.1. AMS Journal link.

    Hall, A., X. Qu, and J. D. Neelin, 2008: Improving predictions of summer climate change in the United States. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L01702, doi:10.1029/2007GL032012. AGU Journal link.

    Zeng, N. J.-H. Yoon, J. A. Marengo, A. Subramaniam, C. A. Nobre, A. Mariotti, and J. D. Neelin, 2008: Causes and impacts of the 2005 Amazon drought. Environ. Res. Lett., 3, 0114002 (9pp) doi:10.1088/1748-9326/3/1/014002. ERL Journal link.


    2007 top

    Neelin, J. D., 2007: Moist dynamics of tropical convection zones in monsoons, teleconnections and global warming. In The Global Circulation of the Atmosphere, T. Schneider and A. Sobel, Eds, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 385pp.

    Neggers, R., J. D. Neelin and B. Stevens, 2007: Impact mechanisms of shallow cumulus convection on tropical climate dynamics. J. Climate, 20, 2623-2642, doi:10.1175/JCLI4079.1. AMS Journal link

    Holloway, C. E. and J. D. Neelin, 2007: The convective cold top and quasi equilibrium. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1467-1487, doi:10.1175/JAS3907.1. AMS Journal link.

    Lintner, B. R. and J. D. Neelin, 2007: A prototype for convective margin shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05812, doi:10.1029/2006GL027305. AGU Journal link

    Neggers, R., B. Stevens, and J. D. Neelin, 2007: Variance scaling in shallow-cumulus-topped mixed layers. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1629-1641, doi:10.1002/qj.105. QJRMS Journal link

    Lintner, B.R. and J.C.H. Chiang, 2007: Adjustment of the remote tropical climate to El Niño conditions. J. Clim., 20, 2544-2557, doi:10.1175/JCLI4138.1. AMS Journal link.


    2006 top

    Neggers, R., B. Stevens and J. D. Neelin, 2006: A simple equilibrium model for shallow cumulus convection. Theoretical and Computational Fluid Dynamics, 20, 305-322, doi:10.1007/s00162-006-0030-1. TCFD Journal link.

    Sobel A. H. and J. D. Neelin, 2006: The boundary layer contribution to intertropical convergence zones in the quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model framework. Theor. Comp. Fluid Dyn., 20, 323-350, doi:10.1007/s00162-006-0033-y. TCFD Journal link,

    Chou, C., J. D. Neelin, J.-Y. Tu, and C.-T. Chen, 2006: Regional tropical precipitation change mechanisms in ECHAM4/OPYC3 under global warming. J. Climate, 19 (17), 4207-4223, doi:10.1175/JCLI3858.1. AMS Journal link.

    Hales, K., J. D. Neelin and N. Zeng, 2006: Interaction of Vegetation and Atmospheric Dynamical Mechanisms in the mid-Holocene African Monsoon. J. Climate, 19, 4105-4120, doi:10.1175/JCLI3833.1. AMS Journal link.

    Peters, O. and J. D. Neelin, 2006: Critical phenomena in atmospheric precipitation. Nature Physics, 2, 393-396, doi:10.1038/nphys314. NP Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., M. Munnich, H. Su, J. E. Meyerson, and C. E. Holloway, 2006: Tropical drying trends in global warming models and observations. Proc. Nat. Acd. Sci., 103, 6110-6115, doi:10.1073/pnas.0601798103. PNAS Journal link.


    2005 top

    Su, H. and J. D. Neelin, 2005: Dynamical Mechanisms for African Monsoon Changes During the Mid-Holocene. J. Geophys. Res., 110, D19, D19105, doi:10.1029/2005JD005806. AGU Journal link.

    Chou, C., J. D. Neelin, U. Lohmann and J. Feichter, 2005: Local and remote impacts of aerosol climate forcing on tropical precipitation. J. Climate, 18, 4621-4636, doi:10.1175/JCLI3554.1. AMS Journal link.

    Munnich, M, and J. D. Neelin, 2005: Seasonal Influence on the Atlantic ITCZ and equatorial South America. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L21709, doi:10.1029/2005GL023900. AGU Journal link.

    Su, H., J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson, 2005: Mechanisms for Lagged Atmospheric Response to ENSO SST Forcing. J. Climate, 18, 4195-4215, doi:10.1175/JCLI3514.1. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D. and H. Su, 2005: Moist teleconnection mechanisms for the tropical South American and Atlantic sector. J. Climate, 18, 3928-3950, doi:10.1175/JCLI3517.1. AMS Journal link.


    2004 top

    Tang, B. H. and J. D. Neelin, 2004: ENSO Influence on Atlantic Hurricanes via Tropospheric Warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24204, doi:10.1029/2004GL021072. AGU Journal link.

    Su, H., J. D. Neelin, and J. E. Meyerson, 2004: Tropical Tropospheric Temperature and Precipitation Response to Sea Surface Temperature Forcing. In Earth's Climate: Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Variability. Geophysical Monograph Series, 147, 379-392. C. Wang, S.-P. Xie, J. Carton, eds., Amer. Geophys. Union. AGU Book link. (Reprinted, 2013)

    Chou, C. and J. D. Neelin, 2004: Mechanisms of global warming impacts on regional tropical precipitation. J. Climate, 17, 2688-2701. AMS Journal link.

    Hales, K., J. D. Neelini and N. Zeng, 2004: Sensitivity of Tropical Land Climate to Leaf Area Index: Role of Surface Conductance versus Albedo. J. Climate, 17, 1459-1473. AMS Journal link.

    Munnich, M., and J. D. Neelin, 2004: Where is ENSO stress balanced? Atmos. Sci. Lett., 5 (2004), 13-22, doi:10.1016/j.atmoscilet.2003.11.001. ASL Journal link.


    2003 top

    Neelin, J. D., C. Chou, and H. Su, 2003: Tropical drought regions in global warming and El Nino teleconnections. Geophys. Res. Lett.,, 30(24) 2275, doi:10.1029/2003GLO018625. AGU Journal link. - AGU Journal Highlights - January 28, 2004

    Su, H. and J. D. Neelin, 2003: The Scatter in Tropical Average Precipitation Anomalies. J. Climate, 16, 3966-3977. AMS Journal link.

    Dijkstra, H. A., W. Weijer, and J. D. Neelin: Imperfections of the three-dimensional thermohaline ocean circulation: Hysteresis and unique-state regimes. J. Phys. Oceanog., 33, 2796-2814. AMS Journal link.

    Roulston, M. S., and J. D. Neelin, 2003: Non-linear coupling between modes in a low-dimensional model of ENSO. Atmosphere-Ocean, 41(3), 217-231, doi:10.3137/ao.410303. AO Journal link.

    Chou, C. and J. D. Neelin, 2003: Mechanisms limiting the northward extent of the northern summer convection zones. J. Climate, 16, 406-425. AMS Journal link.

    Su, H., J. D. Neelin, and J. E. Meyerson, 2003: Sensitivity of tropical tropospheric temperature to sea surface temperature forcing. J. Climate, 16, 1283-1301. AMS Journal link.

    Lin, J. W.-B., and J. D. Neelin, 2003: Toward stochastic deep convective parameterization in general circulation models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(4), 1162, doi: 10.1029/2002GL016203. AGU Journal link.

    Mechoso, C. R., J. D. Neelin, and J.-Y. Yu, 2003: Testing simple models of ENSO. J. Atmos. Sci. 60, 305-318. AMS Journal link.


    2002 top

    Stevens, B., J. Duan, J. C. McWillians, M. Munnich, and J. D. Neelin, 2002: Entrainment, Rayleigh Friction, and Boundary Layer Winds over the Tropical Pacific. J. Climate, 15, 30-44. AMS Journal link.

    Zeng, N., K. Hales, and J. D. Neelin, 2002: Nonlinear dynamics in a Coupled Vegetation-Atmosphere System and Implications for Desert-Forest Gradient. J. Climate, 15, 3474-3487. AMS Journal link.

    Su, H., and J. D. Neelin, 2002: Teleconnection mechanisms for tropical Pacific descent anomalies during El Niño. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 2694-2712. AMS Journal link.

    Lin, J. W.-B., and J. D. Neelin, 2002: Considerations for stochastic convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 959-975. AMS Journal link.


    2001

    Su, H., J. D. Neelin, and C. Chou, 2001: Tropical teleconnection and local response to SST anomalies during the 1997-1998 El Niño. J. Geophys. Res., 106, No. D17, 20,025-20,043. AGU Journal link.

    Chou, C. and J. D. Neelin, 2001: Mechanisms limiting the southward extent of the South American summer monsoon. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, no.12, 2433-2436. AGU Journal link

    Chou, C., J. D. Neelin and H. Su, 2001: Ocean-atmosphere-land feedbacks in an idealized monsoon. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 1869-1891. QJRMS Journal link


    2000

    Zeng, N., J. D. Neelin, C. Chou, J. Lin and H. Su, 2000: Climate and Variability in the First Quasi-equilibrium Tropical Circulation Model. In General Circulation Model Development: Past, Present, and Future. D. Randall, Ed., Academic Press, 457--488. Paper (PDF 1.5MB)

    Lin, J. W.-B., and J. D. Neelin, 2000: Influence of a stochastic moist convective parameterization on tropical climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 3691-3694. AGU Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., F-F. Jin, and H-H. Syu, 2000: Variations in ENSO phase locking. J. Climate , 13, 2570-2590. AMS Journal link.

    Zeng, N., and J. D. Neelin, 2000: The role of vegetation-climate interaction and interannual variability in shaping the African Savanna. J. Climate, 13, 2665-2670. AMS Journal link.

    Lin, J. W.-B., J. D. Neelin, and N. Zeng, 2000: Maintenance of tropical intraseasonal variability: Impact of evaporation-wind feedback and mid-latitude storms. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 2793-2823. AMS Journal link.

    Dijkstra, H. A., and J. D. Neelin, 2000: Imperfections of the thermohaline circulation: Latitudinal asymmetry and preferred northern sinking. J. Climate, 13, 366-382. AMS Journal link.

    Perigaud, C. M., C. Cassou, D. Dewitte, L.-L. Fu, and J. D. Neelin, 2000: Using data and intermediate coupled models for seasonal-to-interannual forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3025-3049. AMS Journal link.

    Syu, H.-H., and J. D. Neelin, 2000: ENSO in a hybrid coupled model. Part I: sensitivity to physical parameterizations. Climate Dynamics, 16, 19-34. CD Journal link.

    Syu, H.-H., and J. D. Neelin, 2000: ENSO in a hybrid coupled model. Part II: prediction with piggyback data assimilation. Climate Dynamics, 16, 35-48. CD Journal link.

    Roulston, M. and J. D. Neelin, 2000: The response of an ENSO model to climate noise, weather noise and intraseasonal forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, no. 22, 3723-3726. AGU Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., and N. Zeng, 2000: A quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model---formulation. J. Atmos. Sci. , 57, 1741-1766. AMS Journal link.

    Zeng, N., J. D. Neelin, and C. Chou, 2000: A quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model---implementation and simulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 1767-1796. AMS Journal link.


    1999

    Chou, C. and J. D. Neelin, 1999: Cirrus detrainment-temperature feedback. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26(9), 1295-1298. AGU Journal link.

    Zeng, N., J. D. Neelin, K.-M. Lau, and C. J. Tucker, 1999: Enhancement of interdecadal climate variability in the Sahel by vegetation interaction. Science, 286, 1537-1540. Journal link.

    Dijkstra, H. A., and J. D. Neelin, 1999: Imperfections of the thermohaline circulation: Multiple equilibria and flux-correction. J. Climate, 12, 1382-1392. AMS Journal link.

    Zeng, Ning, and J. D. Neelin, 1999: A land-atmosphere interaction theory for the tropical deforestation problem. J. Climate, 12, 857-872. AMS Journal link.

    Weng, W., and J. D. Neelin, 1999: Analytical prototypes for ocean-atmosphere ineraction at midlatitudes. Part I: Coupled feedbacks as a sea surface temperatur dependent stochastic process. J. Climate, 12, 697-721. AMS Journal link.

    Weng, W., and J. D. Neelin, 1999: Analytical prototypes for ocean-atmosphere ineraction at midlatitudes. Part II: Mechanisms for coupled gyre modes. J. Climate, 12, 2757-2774. AMS Journal link.

    Dijkstra, H. A., and J. D. Neelin, 1999: Coupled processes and the tropical climatology. Part III: Instabilities of the fully coupled climatology. J. CLimate, 12, 1630-1643. AMS Journal link.


    1998

    Neelin, J. D., and M. Latif, 1998: El Niño Dynamics. Physics Today, 51, 32-36. Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., D. S. Battisti, A. C. Hirst, F.-F. Jin, Y. Wakata, T. Yamagata, S. Zebiak, 1998: ENSO Theory J. Geophys. Res. 103(C7), 14261-14290. AGU Journal link.

    Yu, J.-Y., C. Chou, and J. D. Neelin, 1998: Estimating the gross moist stability of the tropical atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 1354-1372. AMS Journal link.

    Weng, W., and J. D. Neelin, 1998: On the role of ocean-atmosphere interaction in midlatitude interdecadal variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 167-170. AGU Journal link.


    1997

    Yang, J.-Y., and J. D. Neelin, 1997: Sea-ice interaction and the stability of the thermohaline circulation. Atmosphere--Ocean, 35, 433-469. Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., 1997: Implications of convective quasi-equilibria for the large-scale flow. In The physics and parameterization of moist atmosphyeric convection. R. K. Smith, ed., pp. 413-446, Elsevier. Chapter link.

    Yu, J.-Y., and J. D. Neelin, 1997: Analytic approximations for moist convectively adjusted regions. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1054-1063. AMS Journal link.

    Blanke, B., J. D. Neelin and D. Gutzler, 1997: Estimating the effects of stochastic wind stress forcing on ENSO irregularity. J. Climate, 10, 1473-1486. AMS Journal link.

    Yang, J.-Y., and J. D. Neelin, 1997: Decadal Variability in Coupled Sea-Ice-Thermohaline Circulation Systems. J. Climate,10, 3059-3076. AMS Journal link.


    1996

    Chou, C., and J. D. Neelin, 1996: Linearization of a longwave radiation scheme for intermediate tropical atmospheric models. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 15,129-15,145. AGU Journal link.

    Jin, F.-F., J. D. Neelin and M. Ghil, 1996: El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the annual cycle: subharmonic frequency-locking and aperiodicity. Physica D, 98, 442-465. Journal link.


    1995

    Dijkstra, H. A., and J. D. Neelin, 1995: On the attractors of an intermediate coupled equatorial ocean-atmosphere model. Dyn. Atm. Oceans, 22, 19-48. Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D. and H. A. Dijkstra, 1995: Ocean-atmosphere interaction and the tropical climatology. Part I: The angers of flux correction. J. Climate, 8, 1325-1342. AMS Journal link.

    Dijkstra, H. A. and J. D. Neelin, 1995: Ocean-atmosphere interaction and the tropical climatology. Part II: Why the Pacific cold tongue is in the east. J. Climate, 8, 1343-1359. AMS Journal link.

    Syu, H.-H., J. D. Neelin and D. Gutzler, 1995: Seasonal and interannual variability in a hybrid coupled GCM. J. Climate, 8, 2121-2143. AMS Journal link.

    Jiang, N., J. D. Neelin and M. Ghil, 1995: Quasi-quadrennial and quasi-biennial variability in the equatorial Pacific. Climate Dynamics, 12, 101-112. Journal link.

    Mechoso, C. R., A. W. Robertson, N. Barth, M. K. Davey, P. Delecluse, P. R. Gent, S. Ineson, B. Kirtman, M. Latif, H. Le Treut, T. Nagai, J. D. Neelin, S. G. H. Philander, J. Polcher, P. S. Schopf, T. Stockdale, M. J. Suarez, L. Terray, O. Thual, and J. J. Tribbia, 1995: The seasonal cycle over the tropical Pacific in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2825-2838. AMS Journal link. Paper (1.4MB)


    1994

    Neelin, J. D., M. Latif and F.-F. Jin, 1994: Dynamics of coupled ocean-atmosphere models: the tropical problem. Ann. Rev. Fluid Mech., 26, 617-659. Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., and J.-Y. Yu, 1994: Modes of tropical variability under convective adjustment and the Madden-Julian oscillation. Part I: Analytical results. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1876-1894. AMS Journal link.

    Yu, J.-Y., and Neelin, J. D., 1994: Modes of tropical variability under convective adjustment and the Madden-Julian oscillation. Part II: Numerical results. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1895-1914. AMS Journal link.

    Jin, F.-F., J. D. Neelin and M. Ghil, 1994: El Niño on the devil's staircase: annual subharmonic steps to chaos. Science, 264, 70-72. Science Journal link.

    Emanuel, K. A., J. D. Neelin and C. S. Bretherton, 1994: On large-scale circulations in convecting atmospheres. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 120, 1111-1143. QJRMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., and J. Marotzke, 1994: Representing ocean eddies in climate models. Science, 264, 1099-1100. Science Journal link.

    Waliser, D. E., B. Blanke, J. D. Neelin and C. Gautier, 1994: Shortwave feedbacks and El Niño\Southern Oscillation: Forced ocean and coupled ocean-atmosphere experiments. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 99, 25109-25125. AGU Journal link.


    1993

    Jin, F.-F., and Neelin, J. D., 1993: Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction ---a unified view. Part I: Numerical results. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 3477-3503. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., and Jin, F.-F., 1993: Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction ---a unified view. Part II: Analytical results in the weak coupling limit. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 3504-3522. AMS Journal link.

    Jin, F.-F., and Neelin, J. D., 1993: Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction ---a unified view. Part III: Analytical results in fully coupled cases. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 3523-3540. AMS Journal link.

    Yang, J.-Y., and J. D. Neelin, 1993: Sea-ice interactions with the thermohaline circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 217-220 AGU Journal link.

    Hao, Z., J. D. Neelin and F.-F. Jin, 1993: Nonlinear tropical air-sea interaction in the fast-wave limit. J. Climate, 6, 1523-1544. AMS Journal link.

    Liu, W., M. Ghil, J. D. Neelin and C. A. Hall, 1993: A simple coastal ocean model for the Central Californian basin during late Miocene. Paleoceanogr., 8, 799-810. AMS Journal link.


    1992

    Neelin, J. D., M. Latif, M. A. F. Allaart, M. A. Cane, U. Cubasch, W. L. Gates, P. R. Gent, M. Ghil, C. Gordon, N. C. Lau, C. R. Mechoso, G. A. Meehl, J. M. Oberhuber, S. G. H. Philander, P. S. Schopf, K. R. Sperber, A. Sterl, T. Tokioka, J. Tribbia and S. E. Zebiak, 1992: Tropical air-sea interaction in general circulation models. Climate Dynamics, 7, 73-104. Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., Z. Hao and F.-F. Jin, 1992: Reply to 'A note on the fast-wave limit and interannual oscillations'. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 1950-1953. AMS Journal link.


    1991

    Neelin, J. D., 1991: The slow sea surface temperature mode and the fast-wave limit: Analytic theory for tropical interannual oscillations and experiments in a hybrid coupled model. J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 584-606. AMS Journal link.

    Ghil, M., M. Kimoto and J. D. Neelin, 1991: Nonlinear dynamics and predictability in the atmospheric sciences. Rev. Geophys., Supp., 36 pp. 46-55, U.S. National Report to the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics 1987-1990.


    1990

    Neelin, J. D., 1990: A hybrid coupled general circulation model for El Niño studies. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 674-693. AMS Journal link.


    Pre 1990's

    Neelin, J. D., 1989: On the interpretation of the Gill model. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 2466-2468. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., 1989: Interannual oscillations in an ocean general circulation model coupled to a simple atmosphere model. Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. A, 329, 189-205.

    Neelin, J. D., 1988: A simple model for surface stress and low-level flow in the tropical atmosphere driven by prescribed heating. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 114, 747-770. QJRMS Journal link.

    Lau, N. C., I. M. Held and J. D. Neelin, 1988: The Madden-Julian oscillation in an idealized general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 3810-3832. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., 1988: Reply to Comments on an air-sea interaction model of intraseasonal oscillation in the tropics. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 3526-3527. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., and I. M. Held, 1987: Modeling tropical convergence based on the moist static energy budget. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 3-12. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., I. M. Held and K. H. Cook, 1987: Evaporation-wind feedback and low frequency variability in the tropical atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 2341-2348. AMS Journal link.

    Neelin, J. D., and C. A. Lin, 1984: Baroclinic generation of planetary transient and stationary waves from forced stationary waves. J. Geophys. Res., 89, D5, 7202-7214. AGU Journal link.


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